A Sultan in Autumn

"Informative." - Foreign Affairs Recep Tayyip Erdogan has ruled Turkey for nearly two decades. Here, Soner Cagaptay, a leading authority on the country, offers insights on the next phase of Erdogans rule. His dwindling support base at home, coupled with rising opposition, the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, and Turkeys weak economy, would appear to threaten his grip on power. How will he react? In this astute analysis, Cagaptay casts Erdogan as an inventor of nativist populist politics in the twenty-first century. The Turkish president knows how to polarize the electorate to boost his base, and how to wield oppressive tactics when polarization alone cannot win elections. Cagaptay contends that Erdogan will cling to powerwith severe costs for Turkeys citizens, institutions, and allies. The associated dynamics, which carry implications far beyond Turkeys bordersand what they portend for the United Statesmake A Sultan in Autumn a must-read for all those interested in Turkey and the geopolitics of the next decade.