Quantitative Intelligence Analysis

Quantitative Intelligence Analysis describes the model-based method of intelligence analysis that represents the analysts mental models of a subject, as well as the analysts reasoning process exposing what the analyst believes about the subject, and how they arrived at those beliefs and converged on analytic judgments. It includes: Specific methods of explicitly representing the analysts mental models as computational models; dynamic simulations and interactive analytic games; the structure of an analysts mental model and the theoretical basis for capturing and representing the tacit knowledge of these models explicitly as computational models detailed description of the use of these models in rigorous, structured analysis of difficult targets; model illustrations and simulation descriptions; the role of models in support of collection and operations; case studies that illustrate a wide range of intelligence problems; And a recommended curriculum for technical analysts.