Realist Warmonger's Playbook Feb 2025

The Realist Warmonger's Playbook Feb 2025 EditionAuthor Bio: tedkostis @ linkedinContentsForeword by the Author21 Technology dictates Geopolitics4Transparent Battlespace5Military Concept of "First Strike Advantage"8Reassessing the First Strike Concept: Russia's Consideration of Russian-Speaking Compatriots in Donbass13Military Concept of the "Tempo of War"17Military Concept of Fully Autonomous Weapons20Military Concept of Super (AI-enabled) Swarms24Space Warfare: A Critical Disruptor in Future Warfare29Hypersonic Missiles: A Persistent Battlefield Disruptor34Grey Zone Tactics: A Persistent Strategy for Offensive Realism39The Evolution of Stealth in Military Strategy: A Perspective on Offensive Realism44US Energy Wars Against Europe Part II: No More Russian Gas via Ukraine 49NO IMAGE: Fiber Optic Drones & their immunity to Electronic Warfare Jamming53Game Theory on the End of Hostilities in Ukraine58Wars of Necessity and of Choice through the Realist Prism63Germany in Peril Without Russian Energy: Is the End of the Euro Imminent?73From Banana Republics to Peer Competitors: Can U.S. Disruption Tactics Succeed Against Great Powers Like China?77The Rise of Agentic AI on the Modern Battlefield: Transforming Warfare and Ethics81The Agentic AI Robot General: A Paradigm shift86The term "Agentic-AI" in military use882 Newspeak90Newspeak: More Relevant Than Ever in Today's World913 Definitions of Realism97Structural Realism: Power & Anarchy in International Relations98